Sunday’s Oscars will likely hold many surprises, upsets
by Paul Gonzales
Feb 24, 2013 | 1598 views | 0 0 comments | 10 10 recommendations | email to a friend | print
BEEVILLE — For many film fans, this Sunday is our Super Bowl.

It’s the Oscars, and even though most people I know don’t even know what that is, it’s the award show I wait for every year.

I try to watch every film nominated for the major awards — which is a task all in itself — just so I can try to make the most accurate picks, but there are always surprises when Hollywood politics get involved.

This year, I haven’t seen all the movies on the list, but I’ve seen enough, trust me.

My picks will be bold and italicized, so feel free to make your own picks and test your movie knowledge.

Actress in a

supporting role

Amy Adams - “The Master”

Sally Field - “Lincoln”

Anne Hathaway - “Les Misérables”

Helen Hunt - “The Sessions”

Jacki Weaver - “Silver Linings Playbook”

There’s been a lot of talk about Hathaway’s performance, and she’s proven to be one heck of an actress. Plus, she did all of her own singing live on set along with the entire cast.

All the women in this category were great, and it’s good to see such great parts written for women this year, but Hathaway went all-out and deserves the statue this year.

Actress in a

leading role

Jessica Chastain - “Zero Dark Thirty”

Jennifer Lawrence - “Silver Linings Playbook”

Emmanuelle Riva - “Amour”

Quvenzhané Wallis - “Beasts of the Southern Wild”

Naomi Watts - “The Impossible”

I’ve read that this is Lawrence’s year. Now, while I’m not a huge fan of hers, she’s a good actress.

But all my money is riding on the youngest person ever nominated for an Oscar, Wallis.

She was absolutely mesmerizing as Hush Puppy in “Beasts” and has a long career ahead of her, which may be why she won’t win.

The Academy tends to shy away from young stars, knowing they have a long time left to win another one.

But I’m rooting for her anyway.

Actor in a

supporting role

Alan Arkin - “Argo”

Robert De Niro - “Silver Linings Playbook”

Philip Seymour Hoffman - “The Master”

Tommy Lee Jones - “Lincoln”

Christoph Waltz - “Django Unchained”

“Django” isn’t nominated for a lot of awards, but I think it’ll win for everything it’s up for.

Waltz has already won an Oscar for Tarantino’s “Inglourious Basterds” and is basically everyone’s favorite pick.

The only other competition he has is maybe Hoffman because he’s such a dynamic performer, but no one really saw “The Master,” which is a shame.

Actor in a leading role

Bradley Cooper - “Silver Linings Playbook”

Daniel Day-Lewis - “Lincoln”

Hugh Jackman - “Les Misérables”

Joaquin Phoenix - “The Master”

Denzel Washington - “Flight”

I feel bad for everyone in this category. Or for anybody who has to go up against Day-Lewis for anything period.

They should’ve already handed him the Oscar at the premier of “Lincoln.” He’s a master of his craft, and his acting in “Lincoln” just proves it.

Everyone turned in great performances, but no one else on the list has a chance.


Michael Haneke - “Amour”

Benh Zeitlin - “Beasts of the Southern Wild”

Ang Lee - “Life of Pi”

Steven Spielberg - “Lincoln”

David O. Russell - “Silver Linings Playbook”

It’s been a while for Spielberg, and he shows he’s still got it in “Lincoln.”

The only crazy thing that could happen here is if “Beasts” comes from behind and takes this one.

The Academy has been known to go for underdogs, and “Beasts” is the least favored in general and was a huge surprise when it’s nomination was announced.

So, it could still be anyone’s race.

Best Picture



“Beasts of the Southern Wild”

“Django Unchained”

“Les Misérables”

“Life of Pi”


“Silver Linings Playbook”

“Zero Dark Thirty”

Now, this is where things get tricky.

Ben Affleck has gained major support over the past few months for being snubbed as director, even though his movie was nominated in the best picture category.

He’s won every other award for directing. And I mean every award. He probably had a shelf built in his house just to hold them all.

Everyone is rallying around him this year. The only reconciliation prize he can get is this one, and he’ll likely take it home for that reason alone.

“Argo” is a great movie, and Affleck’s proven he’s more than a pretty face. And “Argo” seemed to me like his best impression as Spielberg anyway, so “Lincoln” may win everything else, but this is Affleck’s show, and he deserves it, though it’s not in the category for which he deserves to win.

There could be many upsets throughout the night, and it’s definitely going to be one of the more exciting shows in recent years.

And with “Family Guy” creator and “Ted” director Seth MacFarlane hosting, it should be packed with laughs as well.

The 85th annual Academy Awards will air Sunday, Feb. 24, at 7 p.m. ET on ABC.
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